Good Afternoon Everyone

Well We are looking at the latest data this morning and a few things have changed in the potental for severe weather . First off The one piece of energy has moved quicker then expected and a secondary piece now located south of az may not get in the plains for the main potental time for the moisture to occur and above that the surface energy which would have set the tornadic potental going is accelerating ne quickly and will be in the great lakes by evening , which has taken alot of the shear that would go with the jetstreak away so potental for tornadoes have dropped . Hail and damaging winds will now be the main threat to the midwest states this afternoon . All tho the large scale tornado threat has diminished , isolated tornadoes and gustnados may occur in the texas ok arkansas area this afternoon

DEWPOINTS WHERE ARE THEY AT THIS HR ... ABOVE 60 is RIPE FOR STORM INITIATION

so areas like austin dallas and ft worth are in the mid 60s dewpoint with SE wind meaning the llj is pumping moisture in

SURFACE DATA

A SSE WIND OR SE WIND SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL JET . WHERE THAT BUMPS UP AGAINST A WESTERN WIND COMPONENT IS THE BEST LOCATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER

Beyond today the severe weather calms down . stay with liveweatherblogs.com for latest weather info

Dean D Davison

Sr Staff Met /Admin