NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT

JOESTRADAMUS: GFS GOES OFF THE DEEP END WITH IRMA (SEPTEMBER 1, 2017)

Discussion started by Joe Cioffi 2 months ago

irma

IRMA MOVING WEST GFS MODEL GOES OFF THE DEEP END

First off let us start off with the latest on Irma.This afternoon Irma seemed to undergo another round of intensification and top winds are 120 mph as of the advisory time however since then the hurricane has become a bit more ragged so it may be undergoing another eye wall replacement cycle. This happens when the eye peaks in intensity and then breaks down as a new eye forms. These cycles are almost impossible to forecast and there can be weakening that occurs until the process is complete. The track is now to the west and a southwest motion is expected to develop soon.

storm free

..IRMA TURNS WESTWARD WITH 120-MPH WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 39.1W
ABOUT 1495 MI...2405 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of this system.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 39.1 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-southwest
is expected tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength, up or down, are
possible during the next few days, but Irma is expected to remain a
powerful hurricane through the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

storm free

READ MORE ABOUT THE LATE AFTERNOON GFS AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/09/01/irma-moving-west-gfs-model-goes-off-deep-end/

 

You need to be a member of this group before you can participate in this blog.
Powered by JomSocial

 EXTREME WINTER WEATHER