NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT

JOESTRADAMUS: RARE JULY COASTAL STORM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY (JULY 26, 2017)

Discussion started by Joe Cioffi 3 weeks ago

Noreasters in July are a pretty rare thing and for a short time Friday night into Saturday morning we will probably see some gusty northeast winds along the coast as low pressure develops along the Delaware coast. It is almost like a winter time situation where we keep watching models for north south shifts from run to run. The European model was especially bullish for rain and a bit of wind. The rain begins Friday afternoon and ends Saturday morning with improving weather conditions Saturday afternoon.

BRIEF NOREASTER FRIDAY NIGHT SATURDAY MORNING

EUROPEAN MODEL 8AM SATURDAY

noreaster

Other weather models have been going back and forth north vs south. I think as I have been saying for awhile that this will be a 1 to 2 inch rain producer for most. The northern extent of the rain will only get so far north into the Hudson Valley and Connecticut. Late Friday night early Saturday morning along the coast NE winds will be 20 to occasionally 30 knots with some higher gusts.

BRIEF NOREASTER CONDITIONS SATURDAY MORNING GFS MODEL

noreaster

The GFS is a little flatter (weaker) and a bit faster than the European which would argue for improving weather conditions during Saturday while the European would probably suggest lots of clouds will linger into Saturday evening before weather conditions improve. The main difference in the two models is the strength of the upper air feature with the European so much deeper (stronger) than the GFS model....READ MORE AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/07/26/brief-noreaster-conditions-friday-night-saturday-morning-coast/

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