NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT NYC METRO INCLUDING NORTH JERSEY L.I. CT

JOESTRADAMUS: COLDER BLOCKING LOOK ON TODAY'S MODELS (MARCH 5, 2017)

Discussion started by Joe Cioffi 2 weeks ago

Snow Colder Look Late Week


 We discussed yesterday in detail regarding the huge model differences between the European and  the GFS model and how the trough in the west and the block were critical to the forecast outcome for next weekend and beyond. It appears now that both models had different aspects of the pattern wrong and overnight weather models begin to line up in a slightly different way and that trend continues this afternoon. Let's quickly review yesterday's weather model dilemma.


weather modelsweather models


The maps above were the Friday night Saturday weather models for next weekend and you can see how different they were. What the GFS got right is that there will be troughing in the west but not as deep as it had yesterday. Where the European got it right was that there will be a stronger block and a stronger low at 50N-50W which will keep it colder in the east. The result is that the two models blended those changes together overnight and today and we come up with models that have similar looks to them today....READ MORE AT http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/03/05/snow-colder-look-late-week/

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