This may be the very last snow threat and we all hope it delivers tones of snow. Let's see what the model runs tell us. I will update all model runs, if I miss any please post it so we could all read them...
Photos section has the snow map.
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Hey boys, unless next week takes a major dip in temps, its over. Its been a great run and its funny I'm still not sure what I like better, the 2009-10 winter where we had 3 major storms to make up the bulk of the precip, or many more snow events but no bombs like this winter, anyway its been a pleasure working with a lot of you guys. So unless it changes this will be my last writing until next winter. Make sure all of you enjoy your summer and stay safe, I will be doing a lot of golfing so yes I am happy the warm weather may finally be here for good. Have a great spring and summer.
Thanks guys, you know whats great about this, the fact yhat yes we are tracking this late in the season, and If next winter with the enhanced EL-NINO, is as wild as people are saying it could be a great back to back winter period
@Armando...oh yeah I hope we get more than dusting. Look if we get some fresh chilly air and the 850's are below freezing, it could happen. We could get a snowstorm. We need a perfect track and a strong low! Let's see what happens I'm not that hyped but it is April ad we are still tracking that to me is amazing!
Armando I said we could get some snow on Monday (for yesterday) didn't i?i said that last week. I was skeptical though for sure. Scroll down on the comment... Wales of course we need you. You bring plenty of good info just like the rest of us!
Guys are you talking 8 to 10 days from now, Oh Man would I love to see it go out with a bang, but I am still catching up on sleep from the last time, so I am going to check in every once and a while, anyway you definitely do not need me, with Armando, Nick, Tony, Joe, and the rest of the knowledgeable respectful guys
Hey so Armando it's still cold. I have some optimism that we could get at dusting within a week or two! All we need is some cold air which builds pretty well during nightime. So we need a system with the right track and strong enough to make some cold air especially at night. Maybe if the system moved in during the day and stalled at night that would probably work too. Dates to watch April 6-10
Hey guys been busy with work and not really excited about late march but long Islas got 6 inches of snow in Islip this morning. Also we got some good mood flakes here in NYC this morning but nothing major. Cool to see hopefully we get more shot at a snow event before te 10th of April kinda interesting still tracking and it's April tomorrow! Hahahaha ttyl everybody have a great week!
Thanks Nick. Just my problem is that when you don't have cold air, you don't have snow. We really don't have much to work with, plus the fact that it'll be april. If its daytime, forget about it. But whatever... Guess we'll see. I just want warm honestly.
The fact that you guys are talking about backend snow and in April... I just don't see anything happening. Its not a good setup buf I do agree with Joe on one thing. ALOT of rain is coming in the next few weeks.
Armando, I agree with you that this thing def needs to be watched, later Sunday into Monday. 12z NAM had the snow in the Hudson Valley and Western New England. So if snow is possible it seems like it could setup anywhere from Harrisburg through southern New England as the ULL closes. Probably only a 50-100 mile wide band of snow, but it will be heavy if it does happen.
18z NAM is showing snow for Western Delaware Valley, and much of East Central PA, Sunday Night into Monday. Very Interesting. Shows Potentially 6+ inches from Lancaster NNE through Scranton. ULL appears to catch up with surface low and sit off the Jersey coast for approx 12 hr period.
Yeah the cmc still has it sort of just not as organized as yesterday I'm losing hope as the real arctic air is several hundred miles away and it's hard to come down with the strong late march early April sun as that cold air modifies and Great Lakes ice starts melting!
So what do you guys think can we get one last storm of the year? I'd say it'll e tough but it could happen. The way it's been going this could always be a huge storm. Crazy global climate pattern we're in. Let's see what happens. I'm kinda over it but it could happen. Joe had a good point saying that warmth early next week should really take over in all layers at one point.
Right now its only on the CMC. The CMC has a low that passes to the North 2 days earlier that sets up as a 50/50 low with strong blocking over Greenland and Eastern Canada. Cold air filters in as the storms develops and sits on the East Coast for 24 hrs. The 12z Euro is coming in now, so we'll see what it shows in the next hour.
www.glenallenweather.com/ You can look pretty far back at significant weather events at this site also. Granted they are observations and not precise measurements. For example May 8th 1803 a snow event apparently ruined shade trees in Philly. Pretty cool going back through the days of April and May and seeing what happened in the 1800's even a few 1700's references. Some of the 1700's information apparently comes right from Washington's diary. Enjoy the Day!
This is from Noaa Data for PHL: 3-3-2014 high 34 low 16 liq.34 snow 3.4" ratio 10:1 Ok I buy that. 3-17-2014 high 32 low 23 liq .23 snow 4.7" ratio 20:1 eh i guess. 3-25-2014 high 40 low 26 liq .01 snow .4" ratio 40:1 WHAT???
I don't doubt the .4" as I live near the airport and that was about right but the .01 liquid ? Is 40:1 possible ?? And why can't we get that in Feb. or Jan??
Philly also has a top ten snowstorm in April, April 3-4,1915, 19.4". It is #6 on the list. Also the latest PHL snowfall over an inch was April 19-20,1983,1.9". I think someone asked about that somewhere in this thread. April snow can happen but is extremely rare in Philly, so I'm not holding my breath. And this from NWS Mt. Holly: AS A POINT OF CLIMATOLOGICAL REFERENCE. PHILADELPHIA HAS HAD TEN 3 INCH OR GREATER SNOW EVENTS AFTER MARCH 24TH. THE LAST OCCURRED ON MARCH 31ST TO APRIL 1ST OF 1997 AS 3.9 INCHES FELL. THE GREATEST WAS 19.4 INCHES ON APRIL 3RD AND 4TH OF 1915
@Joe and Freeze - I never meant for this to be the username thing. There are two options when you sign up. I just got the options backwards......... . I would be WoodMizer lol. Or WoodMeister. Yeah that's my terrible pun of the day.