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Last snow threat of winter March 25-26 2014 snow map on the photos section

Discussion started by toNY 1 year ago

Hello,

This may be the very last snow threat and we all hope it delivers tones of snow. Let's see what the model runs tell us. I will update all model runs, if I miss any please post it so we could all read them...

 Photos section has the snow map.

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toNY
toNY
Joe hope you enjoy your summer!
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Lol Ballz.. I got a good dusting of heavy wet snow last night. Went down to 29 degrees outside my house! Incredible. See you guys next winter lol I really think this is it for snow.
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Haha Joe I wish, but the snow will soon end and I need .5" and it has just been too warm for any accumulation.

On the other hand, this winter/spring just keeps on giving...
1 year ago
Flyersfan1248
Flyersfan1248
I have Rain and Sleet here in Marlton, NJ and I'm at 38 degrees.
1 year ago
BobFurda1
BobFurda1
Plain rain in Mercer. Still in the mid 50's here
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Lul its sleeting.
1 year ago
sweitskier
sweitskier
Surface temp 35
1 year ago
sweitskier
sweitskier
Nice to see a few stragglers on here yet! Almost all snow in Ephrata Lancaster county! Nice to see a fellow Berks countian on here!
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Snow tonight nam shows 2-4 inches for NYC. Insane!
1 year ago
dehaven
dehaven
Euro has a massive blizzard at hour 6676! Wtf.......
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Armando did you see the euro 12z today? It shows a snowstorm for Wednesday night into Thursday morning! Coastal low baby!!!!
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Gfs shows back end snow for Wednesday. Lol I mean come on now this has been the best winter I have ever seen before.
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Could really do without this wind guys. Someone make it go away please.
1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
You guys are kidding, right?
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
This is crazy still tracking snow lol. I've never seen this before. Give us a snowstorm next week and we'll fold! Lol
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi
Record cold likely much of central/e US next wk!
Check out the ECMWF. 4th run in a row with killing cold into s plains, and snows in ne
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
The amount of qpf the gfs just put up for next week was unbelievably ridiculous lol. (Rain of course)
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Hey boys, unless next week takes a major dip in temps, its over. Its been a great run and its funny I'm still not sure what I like better, the 2009-10 winter where we had 3 major storms to make up the bulk of the precip, or many more snow events but no bombs like this winter, anyway its been a pleasure working with a lot of you guys. So unless it changes this will be my last writing until next winter. Make sure all of you enjoy your summer and stay safe, I will be doing a lot of golfing so yes I am happy the warm weather may finally be here for good. Have a great spring and summer.
1 year ago
dehaven
dehaven
May 1, 1963 Philadelphia reported a trace of snow! Keep the dream alive for us folks below one thousand feet Armando! LOL
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Okay sounds good I'm half skeptical now. Lol. Let's see the models for the next couple of days.
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
It's over Armando... Sorry! No more snow for sure
1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Thanks guys, you know whats great about this, the fact yhat yes we are tracking this late in the season, and If next winter with the enhanced EL-NINO, is as wild as people are saying it could be a great back to back winter period
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
@Armando...oh yeah I hope we get more than dusting. Look if we get some fresh chilly air and the 850's are below freezing, it could happen. We could get a snowstorm. We need a perfect track and a strong low! Let's see what happens I'm not that hyped but it is April ad we are still tracking that to me is amazing!
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Armando I said we could get some snow on Monday (for yesterday) didn't i?i said that last week. I was skeptical though for sure. Scroll down on the comment...
Wales of course we need you. You bring plenty of good info just like the rest of us!
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi
Brazilian meteograms have 2 sub 990 mb pressure foreacsts in NYC for April, with snow showing up even with 2cnd one April 16th Ugly pattern
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Guys are you talking 8 to 10 days from now, Oh Man would I love to see it go out with a bang, but I am still catching up on sleep from the last time, so I am going to check in every once and a while, anyway you definitely do not need me, with Armando, Nick, Tony, Joe, and the rest of the knowledgeable respectful guys
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi
Pattern for next week is wild .All models with threat of major winter like event,fits with phase 3 MJO
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Hey so Armando it's still cold. I have some optimism that we could get at dusting within a week or two! All we need is some cold air which builds pretty well during nightime. So we need a system with the right track and strong enough to make some cold air especially at night. Maybe if the system moved in during the day and stalled at night that would probably work too. Dates to watch April 6-10
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Hey guys been busy with work and not really excited about late march but long Islas got 6 inches of snow in Islip this morning. Also we got some good mood flakes here in NYC this morning but nothing major. Cool to see hopefully we get more shot at a snow event before te 10th of April kinda interesting still tracking and it's April tomorrow! Hahahaha ttyl everybody have a great week!
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi
Strong MJO Phase 3 Set up monster amplification next week, rivaling major buckling Apr 7-9 2007! Welcome back MJO!
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Eye candy on the gfs lol
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Aw, poo. Well whatever. Still crazy to see the 10" reports. Side note: has there ever been 65dbz+ bands reported for snow?
1 year ago
dehaven
dehaven
@ TheyCall.... The radar was having feedback problems this morning. Those 65 & 75DBZ bands were false. Would have been nice though....
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
On the other hand, I just saw heavy rain the whole time.
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
THERE ARE VERY SMALL PARTS OF JERSEY RECEIVING 75DBZ BANDS OF SNOW RIGHT NOW. WIDESPREAD 65DBZ
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
WTF JERSEY IS GETTING PLOWED
1 year ago
dehaven
dehaven
Did you guys see the reports from the NWS that some places in central PA & Maryland received just shy of 10 inches of snow last night?
1 year ago
pianomanharry
pianomanharry
rain, snow, and sleet/ice pellets in southwestern Chesco. 6:08 pm Sunday. BIG flakes...
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Yeah its pretty awesome. And yes Joe it is crawling... Spinning.
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
I got nothing to do today... I'm bored. Sorry. Lol
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Rain out in south central PA was coming down so hard it changed to snow. Pretty cool.
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Yogi Berra:"It ain't over 'til it's over",
Joe Bastardi
Pattern looks wild next 10-15 days. Severe weather on increase, but major winter like events also in the cards!
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Yeesh, if all this rain were snow, some of us would be pushing 90" for the season!
1 year ago
Shugar54
Shugar54
It would be interesting to have my April 9th Phillies game snowed out. I must admit I hope its 60* and clear with no wind. I love snow but baseball is much better when its warm. GO PHILLIES!
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Thanks Nick. Just my problem is that when you don't have cold air, you don't have snow. We really don't have much to work with, plus the fact that it'll be april. If its daytime, forget about it. But whatever... Guess we'll see. I just want warm honestly.
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
The fact that you guys are talking about backend snow and in April... I just don't see anything happening. Its not a good setup buf I do agree with Joe on one thing. ALOT of rain is coming in the next few weeks.
1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
Armando, I agree with you that this thing def needs to be watched, later Sunday into Monday. 12z NAM had the snow in the Hudson Valley and Western New England. So if snow is possible it seems like it could setup anywhere from Harrisburg through southern New England as the ULL closes. Probably only a 50-100 mile wide band of snow, but it will be heavy if it does happen.
1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
18z NAM is showing snow for Western Delaware Valley, and much of East Central PA, Sunday Night into Monday. Very Interesting. Shows Potentially 6+ inches from Lancaster NNE through Scranton. ULL appears to catch up with surface low and sit off the Jersey coast for approx 12 hr period.

www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/…
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Yeah the cmc still has it sort of just not as organized as yesterday I'm losing hope as the real arctic air is several hundred miles away and it's hard to come down with the strong late march early April sun as that cold air modifies and Great Lakes ice starts melting!
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi
While severe weather is starting to wake up, against the means, winter stubbornly fighting back still a big deal
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi
Big noreaster this weekend may wind up as heavy wet snow Sunday in a lot of ne and mid atlnatic after big rains, gales on caost.
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
So what do you guys think can we get one last storm of the year? I'd say it'll e tough but it could happen. The way it's been going this could always be a huge storm. Crazy global climate pattern we're in. Let's see what happens. I'm kinda over it but it could happen. Joe had a good point saying that warmth early next week should really take over in all layers at one point.
1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
ill keep looking over the models but its gonna have to start showing up soon on others besides the CMC for it to be a realistic threat.
1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Are you guys going to track this april 4-6th possibility from now
1 year ago
Shugar54
Shugar54
Thank you right after I asked you I noticed that lower on the page under the long range models. A long way off but with the blocking 50/50 & -NAO anything is poss.
1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
Yea I usually click on the 12z Euro then extend that out to 240 hrs then click on the CMC tab up top
1 year ago
Terzsnowman57
Terzsnowman57
Another CMC link for those who like to fantasize:
meteocentre.com/models/…

It's a nice block though, why couldn't we have had that in Jan/Feb :-(
1 year ago
Terzsnowman57
Terzsnowman57
@Shugar54 PSU ewall has it, towards the bottom of the page, North American longer range 4 panel, CMC goes out to 240 hrs
1 year ago
Shugar54
Shugar54
Where are you finding a CMC model that goes out pass 180 hrs.? I use the Penn State Ewall.
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
the CMC is basically a heavy rain to heavy snow scenario for the Delaware Valley, this would only work though if the blocking is in place to allow the cold air to filter in.
1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
Right now its only on the CMC. The CMC has a low that passes to the North 2 days earlier that sets up as a 50/50 low with strong blocking over Greenland and Eastern Canada. Cold air filters in as the storms develops and sits on the East Coast for 24 hrs. The 12z Euro is coming in now, so we'll see what it shows in the next hour.
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
12z Canadian still has a Mid-Atlantic Blizzard. April 5-6th, with a low pressure stalled out off the Delmarva Coast.
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
dehaven
dehaven
www.glenallenweather.com/
You can look pretty far back at significant weather events at this site also. Granted they are observations and not precise measurements. For example May 8th 1803 a snow event apparently ruined shade trees in Philly. Pretty cool going back through the days of April and May and seeing what happened in the 1800's even a few 1700's references. Some of the 1700's information apparently comes right from Washington's diary. Enjoy the Day!
1 year ago
Terzsnowman57
Terzsnowman57
This is from Noaa Data for PHL:
3-3-2014 high 34 low 16 liq.34 snow 3.4" ratio 10:1 Ok I buy that.
3-17-2014 high 32 low 23 liq .23 snow 4.7" ratio 20:1 eh i guess.
3-25-2014 high 40 low 26 liq .01 snow .4" ratio 40:1 WHAT???

I don't doubt the .4" as I live near the airport and that was about right but the .01 liquid ? Is 40:1 possible ?? And why can't we get that in Feb. or Jan??
1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
Yea its crazy ballz, back at the beginning of December everyone was hoping for 20-30". We tripled that this year, unreal.
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
manayunkice
manayunkice
Updated 2013-2014 Seasonal Snowfall Totals for NWS Mount Holly Cities.

1) Philadelphia - 68.0"
2) Allentown - 67.8"
3) Wilmington - 56.1"
4) Atlantic City - 43.8"

Wilmington and Atlantic City seem to be set in stone for 3rd and 4th place respectively for the region. The question is will Philly or Allentown win out?
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Armando - youtu.be/…
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Wales - upper bucks county about 30-40 miles north of philly.

Terz - April 27th... Wow. To even have snowflakes falling that late is ridiculous. (For philly)
1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Eric where are you from?
1 year ago
Terzsnowman57
Terzsnowman57
@Joe R No problem. The latest recorded "accumulating" snowfall in Philly was April 27,1967 eh 0.1"
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Or maybe 69 is just my lucky number
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
I'm gonna end up getting .5" if this thing comes true.
1 year ago
Terzsnowman57
Terzsnowman57
Philly also has a top ten snowstorm in April, April 3-4,1915, 19.4". It is #6 on the list. Also the latest PHL snowfall over an inch was April 19-20,1983,1.9". I think someone asked about that somewhere in this thread. April snow can happen but is extremely rare in Philly, so I'm not holding my breath. And this from NWS Mt. Holly:
AS A POINT OF CLIMATOLOGICAL REFERENCE. PHILADELPHIA HAS HAD
TEN 3 INCH OR GREATER SNOW EVENTS AFTER MARCH 24TH.
THE LAST OCCURRED ON MARCH 31ST TO APRIL 1ST OF 1997 AS
3.9 INCHES FELL. THE GREATEST WAS 19.4 INCHES ON APRIL
3RD AND 4TH OF 1915
1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
LOL, NOT BUYING INTO THAT YET.
1 year ago
toNY
toNY
Guys we might get some snow Sunday night lol
1 year ago
ballz97fm
ballz97fm
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1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
@Joe and Freeze - I never meant for this to be the username thing. There are two options when you sign up. I just got the options backwards......... . I would be WoodMizer lol. Or WoodMeister. Yeah that's my terrible pun of the day.

Wales - That's one helluva storm.
1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Hey I notice some of you mentioning golf, well I've got a tip that would take 5 strokes off your golf game, and this comes direct from Arnold Palmer,,,Its called an ERASER
1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
HEY BOYS CHECK THIS OUT.....earth.nullschool.net/
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 1m
April MJO in phases 2/3 Cold air not likely to flee

1 year ago
Wales/Roxborough
Wales/Roxborough
Anyone out there, have a cool link to show you, but don't want to be talking to myself. I do enough of that at home with my wife
1 year ago
WeatherWizard
WeatherWizard
From Joe Bastardi: LOL!
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 13m
There once was a storm on Nantucket
Where snow flew like bucketa
The north wind did blow,& drifted the snow You want spring? FUGGEDABOUT IT

1 year ago
TheyCallMeWoody
TheyCallMeWoody
Doesn't sound half bad.
1 year ago
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